wnol.info May 25 2018


Kentucky Derby: How To Bet $100

May 25 2018, 02:56 | Van Peters

Flashback to 2014 – Pretty in Pink

Flashback to 2014 – Pretty in Pink

But the big field effects every horse in the race, and winning the Kentucky Derby with relatively few starts under a horse's belt is not that uncommon an occurrence.

There are 20 entrants in the 2018 Kentucky Derby and the favorite, Justify, will come out of the No. 7 hole. "All the important horses got good draws".

Ah, but for the days when the results of the Kentucky Derby would cause more looks of utter disbelief then the Twitter account of President Donald Trump.

The other potential favorite that falls into that category has an impressive Derby prep win. History has a amusing way of repeating itself in this race. So many talented 3-year-old thoroughbreds, and only one will make history. My Boy was 30-1 on the morning line.

Trainer William Spawr's pupil has won by a combined 10 1/4 lengths during its surge and will enter its next challenge with Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith, 52, making his fourth straight start aboard the horse.

The only chink in Justify's armor is that he didn't race as a 2-year-old.

The Derby has been run over a sloppy or muddy track 15 times, including previous year, when Always Dreaming became the fifth straight favorite to win the race. That's a pretty significant sample size to try to derail. There should be several runners in this year's field at single digit odds, and they will be trained by the usual cast of characters of Todd Pletcher, Chad Brown, Bob Baffert, etc. So which one is sitting on the big race? Who did Pletcher's go-to jockey, John Velazquez, choose to ride? My Boy Jack, Enticed, Solomini, and Vino Rosso, the Wood Memorial victor, are also well regarded. Justify; 4. Vino Rosso. If that's the case, it's not far-fetched to project a huge effort if he relishes another new surface in Louisville.

Always Dreaming
Always Dreaming

The former, who is trained by Brad Cox and jockeyed by Florent Geroux, has lost just once in six races, finishing second by a neck to Road to Victory at the Grade-2 Golden Rod back in November.

And finally, Enticed won his first race at seven furlongs in the mud at Saratoga in September. And while we can't decide between a colorful ruffle top (à la Carmen Miranda) or a wide-brimmed organza hat (Lilly Pulitzer dress sold separately), there are some things in life we shouldn't have to choose between, like what kind of cocktail we should we be sipping come May 5. Audible is the third favorite at 7-1, followed by Magnum Moon at 9-1. Sure, Funny Cide won the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, but that was more the exception than the rule for NY breds in races like the Kentucky Derby.

Magnum Moon won the Arkansas Derby to remain undefeated in his four starts but he is also facing the Curse of Apollo. It has been 136 years since a horse has won the Derby without running as a 2yr old. Look at Thunder Snow a year ago, a strong horse who got a bad break out of the gate, got spooked and never joined the race after bucking and jumping down the front stretch.

Baffert brought a second horse, too: Solomini, who has the same connections as 2015's American Pharoah. He's consistent, but tends to wilt and hang when stared in the eye. I will put $40 on his nose to win.

This race is capable of producing outlandish results. I won't take him lightly, especially with those connections.

There are certain horses that don't warm up that great and this is where knowing the horses on a daily basis can really help. The biggest upside for that performance comes from the Pletcher stable and in particular Vino Rosso. Best of all, this trendy cocktail is ideal for any rooftop soiree (not just Mexican- and horse-race-themed ones), so you can sip them all summer long. You're cautious not to overreact to what you last witnessed. "Now we just need some racing luck".

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